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                    兴业证券首席战略张启尧：市场新高，，种种资金动向怎样？？？？？
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                                    <span>泉源：</span>
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                            <p><img src="https://pic.qqtn.com/up/2018-3/15217749823225660.jpg" alt="中汽协：2022年汽车制造业利润同比增添0.6%">&#21320;&#22812;&#32670;&#32670;,   <p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">泉源：尧望后势</font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">本周，，沪指突破去年</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">9.24</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">后的日内高点，，创下近四年以来的新高，，同时全</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">A</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">一连三个生意日成交额超</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">2</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">万亿元，，指数放量新高反应种种资金情绪一连升温。。</font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">详细看，，以两融为代表的高危害偏好资金本周一连流入，，同时公募、外资在边际上的起劲改善延续，，公募权益类基金新发占比进一步提升，，而北向资金在全</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">A</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">的成交占比本周也边际上行。。作为逆向资金的</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">ETF</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">则在本周净流出，，其中科创</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">50ETF</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">以及</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">TMT</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">行业主题</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">ETF</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">止盈赎回较多。。别的，，本周险资麋集举牌港股，，在市场一连上涨配景下，，险资在拥挤度相对低位的港股盈利资产的结构提速。。</font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　一、公募基金</p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">本周自动权益基金刊行规模与上周整体持平，，目今权益类基金新发占比边际提升，，随着自动逾额延续，，后续自动权益基金新发有望一连回升。。</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">被动指数基金方面，，仍维持较高刊行热度，，基金公司仍起劲结构指数基金，，本周共计</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">19</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">只指数基金报会。。整体看，，从今年</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">3</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">月以来，，权益基金（自动</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">+</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">被动）刊行规模占比提升至</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">40%</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">以上，，在市场赚钱效应显著的配景下，，后续权益基金新发有望进一步回升。。</font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color0">二、</font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color0">ETF</font></font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">本周</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">ETF</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">净流出显著，，科创</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">50/100</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">与</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">TMT</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">行业主题</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">ETF</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">净流出较为显着，，而此前净流出的沪深</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">300</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">、中证</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">A500</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">等宽基</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">ETF</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">边际改善。。</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">7</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">月以来，，行业主题</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">ETF</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">净流入成为市场主要边际增量，，随着本周科技生长板块领涨，，科创</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">50/100</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">指数</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">ETF</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">以及</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">TMT</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">相关行业主题</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">ETF</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">止盈净流出较多。。</font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color0">三、两融</font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"></font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">本周，，融资余额增添</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">457</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">亿元，，杠杆资金坚持加速流入。。</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">6</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">月尾以来，，杠杆资金维持</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">300</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">亿元左右的单周净流入，，是本轮市场突破的主要助推实力，，目今沪深两融余额突破今年</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">3</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">月高点。。</font><font cms-style="font-L">结构上，，科技生长依然是两融资金的偏好偏向，，别的消耗医药也迎来阶段性流入提升，，本周电子、机械装备、医药生物、盘算机、通讯、电力装备、银行、基础化工等行业两融净流入居前。。</font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color0">四、外资</font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"></font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">近期外资对中国资产的关注度一直升温，，一方面北向资金成交占全</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">A</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">成交比例一连提升，，另一方面凭证</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">EPFR</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">数据显示，，以被动资金为主的外资近期一连增配</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">A</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">股。。</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">今年资源市场泛起“以内为主”的特征，，杠杆资金、包管资金是市场边际主要增量资金，，但随着市场回暖，，外资在</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">A</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">股的加入度也一连回升。。</font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color0">五、南向</font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"></font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color0">六、融资</font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color0">&amp;</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color0">增减持</font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"></font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">本周</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">IPO+</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">再融资规模</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">17</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">亿元，，环比上周下降，，只管</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">7</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">月</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">IPO&amp;</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">再融资规模有所上升，，但</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">8</font></font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold">月以来融资需求再度降至低位。。</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">并且整年维度来看，，今年市场融资端仍维持低位，，是增量资金驱动市场活跃的主要助力。。别的，，增减持方面，，本周工业资源净减持</font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">74</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">亿元，，与上周基本持平。。</font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold align-Center color0">危害提醒</font></p><p cms-style="font-L align-Center color210">　　<font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color0">本报告为历史数据剖析报告，，不组成对行业或个股的推荐和建议。。</font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L color210"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color210"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color210">证券研究报告：</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">《</font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L">市场新高，，种种资金动向怎样？？？？？</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L">》</font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L color210"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color210"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color210">对外宣布时间：</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L"><font cms-style="font-L">2025年8月16日</font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L color210"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color210"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color210">报告宣布机构：</font></font></font><font cms-style="font-L">兴业证券股份有限公司（已获中国证监会允许的证券投资咨询营业资格）</font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold color210">本报告剖析师 ：</font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L">张启尧 &nbsp;SAC执业证</font><font cms-style="font-L">书编号：S0</font><font cms-style="font-L">190521080005</font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　<font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L">程鲁尧 &nbsp;</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L">SAC执业证书编号：</font></font><font cms-style="font-L strong-Bold"><font cms-style="font-L">S0190521120004</font></font></font></p><p cms-style="font-L">　　耿安川 &nbsp;SAC执业证书编号：S0190525050002</p><p cms-style="font-L">责任编辑：张恒星 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